VFB #171 - 世界船队共46,901 艘 2013.06.16

2013-06-17 22:56  浏览次数 28

世界船队共46,901   

2013.06.16

一:本期头条 根据联合国 UNCTD的统计在2012年年初全世界1,000吨以上的各种商船共有46,901, 150万载重吨. 从下面表格可看到它们的注册港, 船只数目, 主要船东和主要船东所佣之只数.

At the beginning of 2012 according to the United Nations Conference of Trade and Development’s (UNCTD) “Review of Maritime Transport” the global mix of vessels of 1,000 gross tons and above totalled nearly 47,000 vessels, with a cumulative deadweight of 1.5 million tons:

Flag                    No. of ships      Major Owners            No. of ships

Panama                      6,739                  Japan                          2,413

Liberia                         2,996                  Germany                     1,720

China                          2,502                  China                           2,060

Singapore                  2,022                  Singapore                     712

Marshall Island         1,833                  Greece                           450              

China (Hong Kong)  1,761                  China (Hong Kong)     550

Malta                            1,722                  Greece                           486

Bahama                      1,322                  Greece                           247

Greece                           859                  Greece                            738

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Northern Sea Route 2013 Queue Longest Yet            北极航道管理局今年共批准54条船的通行证, 比起 2010年的4, 2011年的 34条和2012年的46, 数目有明显的增加.

Thursday, June 06, 2013

The Northern Sea Route administration has so far given 54 vessels permission to sail the route in 2013.

This year’s sailing season on the Northern Sea Route between Europe and Russia will probably be the busiest one ever. The first vessels to take the Arctic shortcut this summer will leave Murmansk at the end of June.

The Northern Sea Route Administration has so far received 89 applications to use the Northern Sea Route (NSR). 54 vessels have so far been given permission to sail along the route, reports the Barents Observer, citing the administration's (Russian language) web-site.

There has been a tenfold increase in the number of vessels using the NSR during the last couple of years. In 2012 46 vessels sailed the whole route, compared to 34 in 2011 and only four in 2010.

Source: Barents Observer

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Tankship Overcapacity Blights the Market          Drewry中介行发现世界需油量今年的第一季己减少 1% 达每日8,990万桶, 虽然下半年需求或可能提高 2%, 但今年171 dwt新船的加入将导致油轮使用率下滑和运费的低迷.

Thursday, June 06, 2013

With seasonally weak demand in the second quarter, the short-term view for freight rates does not look positive finds Drewry.

Global oil demand declined by 1.0% in the first quarter of the year to 89.9 million bpd, although some recovery in demand is likely in the second half of the year based on seasonal demand, which will push overall tonnage demand higher by 2% in 2013.

This will be countered by a continuing supply of fresh tonnage through the year. With 46 million dwt already added since 2010 and a further 17.1 million dwt (4%) due this year, utilisation will be poor and freight rates will not show any noticeable signs of recovery.

There is a glimmer of hope for the longer term from the slowdown in ordering and the gradual global economic recovery. Utilisation will improve from 2014 onwards and shift in trade patterns will also lend some support to rates as voyage lengths increase.

Crude oil shipping from production growth centres such as Latin America, Africa and the Middle East to the emerging refinery capacity in Asia is likely to increase gradually, whereas shipments to the US and Europe will tail off. This will be further driven by the shrinking margins in European refineries, and increased domestic production and stagnant refinery capacity in the USA.

Drewry expects tanker demand to increase at a compounded annual growth rate of about 5% through to 2018, reaching 420 million dwt. Tanker owners are likely to see improved conditions from 2014 onwards once the existing phase of overcapacity eases, with improved demand and some slowdown in supply growth. However, if current attractive newbuild prices prompt excessive ordering, the market might not break the cycle of overcapacity for a long time delaying any hopes of recovery.
Source:  Tanker Forecaster
 

二: 2013/06/13    远东2003年造二手船平均价值:

种类                       油轮                            干散货轮                           集装箱轮         (teu)

船型        VLCC   Suezmax   Aframax   Cape   Pmax   Supramax    Handy    P/Pax    Pmax    Handy   

吨位()             31          16           11          18         8            6           3         7000     4250      1400  

价值(万美元)    -1.6%    +0.0%   +1.9%    -1.9%     -1.0%    -0.7%    +1.7%    -0.4%   0.0%    +5.0%   

二:2013/06/13船用燃油价格(每吨/usd)

来源: Bunkerworld

                                IFO 380           __IFO 180            MDO           MGO   

新加坡                       602                     620                   860              870

鹿特丹                       586                     612                   -----              854

            休士顿                        585                     640                   -----              955

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备注:        tbn         = to be named                       ldt          = light d/weight ton

usd        = u.s.dollar                           mtpa        = million ton per annum              

cbm       =cubic meter                           tpa        =million metric ton per annu

: 编者旅行在外. 本期文章从简. 请见谅.

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